AI and Strategic Decision-Making - Communicating trust and uncertainty in AI-enriched intelligence
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) bring new opportunities and hold exciting potential for both intelligence production and assessment, helping to surface new intelligence insights and boosting productivity. AI is not new to GCHQ or the intelligence assessment community. But the accelerating pace of change is. In an increasingly contested and volatile world, we need to continue to exploit AI to identify threats and emerging risks, alongside our important contribution to ensuring AI safety and security.
Across intelligence production and all-source assessment, AI can help to surface new insights and ensure that our analysts can access, at speed, a far greater range of data and information. We must harness the potential of AI to make sense of the ever-expanding volume of material which can inform our assessments. If we don't, we risk drowning in data and failing to spot emerging risks or trends as a result.
At the same time, advances in AI bring some new challenges for intelligence production and assessment. Questions of bias, robustness, and source validation apply just as much to AI systems as they do to the more traditional sources of insight.
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